SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Southport had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.41%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Southport |
60.64% ( -0.09) | 23.3% ( 0.04) | 16.06% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.85% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.48% ( -0.07) | 54.52% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.12% ( -0.05) | 75.88% ( 0.06) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.34% ( -0.06) | 17.66% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.73% ( -0.1) | 48.27% ( 0.1) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.25% ( 0.03) | 46.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.7% ( 0.02) | 82.3% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 14.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 60.64% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0)Other @ 0.57% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.3% Total : 16.06% |
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