SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 52.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Southport had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Southport win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Tamworth |
22.72% ( 0.02) | 24.78% ( 0.01) | 52.5% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.13% ( -0.01) | 51.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.37% ( -0.01) | 73.63% ( 0.01) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.32% ( 0.01) | 37.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.54% ( 0.01) | 74.46% ( -0.01) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.26% ( -0.02) | 19.74% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.24% ( -0.02) | 51.76% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 22.72% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 12.06% 0-2 @ 9.79% ( -0)1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.3% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.15% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.82% Total : 52.49% |
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