SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
55.6% ( 0.21) | 21.81% ( -0.06) | 22.59% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 59.58% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.87% ( 0.1) | 39.13% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.54% ( 0.1) | 61.45% ( -0.1) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% ( 0.1) | 14.01% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.45% ( 0.19) | 41.54% ( -0.19) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% ( -0.07) | 30.71% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.03% ( -0.09) | 66.96% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 55.6% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 22.59% |
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