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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
PU

Cheltenham
2 - 0
Peterborough

Nuttall (11'), Taylor (21')
Taylor (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Peterborough United

Although Ferguson could make alterations to his side, we still think that Peterborough will have enough quality required to claim a narrow win and end Cheltenham's three-year stay in the third tier. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawPeterborough United
17.05% (-1.338 -1.34) 20.81% (-0.864 -0.86) 62.15% (2.206 2.21)
Both teams to score 53.44% (0.234 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27% (1.623 1.62)42.73% (-1.62 -1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87% (1.595 1.6)65.13% (-1.59 -1.59)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57% (-0.58300000000001 -0.58)38.43% (0.586 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (-0.564 -0.56)75.18% (0.566 0.57)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.8% (1.194 1.19)13.2% (-1.188 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.08% (2.363 2.36)39.92% (-2.357 -2.36)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 17.05%
    Peterborough United 62.15%
    Draw 20.81%
Cheltenham TownDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 4.85% (-0.441 -0.44)
2-1 @ 4.7% (-0.287 -0.29)
2-0 @ 2.32% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 17.05%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.428 -0.43)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.373 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.81%
0-2 @ 10.4% (0.17 0.17)
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 7.02% (0.407 0.41)
1-3 @ 6.72% (0.288 0.29)
0-4 @ 3.56% (0.349 0.35)
1-4 @ 3.4% (0.285 0.29)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.089 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.113 0.11)
0-5 @ 1.44% (0.197 0.2)
1-5 @ 1.38% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 62.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Exeter
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Peterborough
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 4-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Port Vale
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Wycombe
Sunday, April 7 at 4.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Peterborough
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One


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