SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Sheffield Wednesday | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Cambridge United | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Cambridge United | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Peterborough United | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury Town | 8 | 0 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Peterborough United |
57.29% ( 2.61) | 22.56% ( -0.22) | 20.15% ( -2.38) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( -2.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.35% ( -1.97) | 45.64% ( 1.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.03% ( -1.9) | 67.97% ( 1.91) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.32% ( 0.2) | 15.68% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.26% ( 0.36) | 44.74% ( -0.36) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.3% ( -3.41) | 36.7% ( 3.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.51% ( -3.58) | 73.49% ( 3.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.93) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.93)3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.61)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.3)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.4% Total : 57.29% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.45)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.53)0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.37)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.33)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.21)Other @ 1.72% Total : 20.15% |
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