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League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
BA

Peterborough
0 - 1
Burton Albion

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bennett (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 4-1 Burton Albion

With a habit of smashing relegation-threatened teams at home, a dangerous Peterborough side should have no issues putting Burton to bed on Wednesday night. The Brewers are still sore from their FA Cup defeat to non-league Tamworth, so it is hard to imagine the visitors earning anything from their daunting trip to Weston Homes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 58.06%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 21.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 1-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
58.06% (1.324 1.32) 20.48% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 21.46% (-1.416 -1.42)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-2.442 -2.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.79% (-2.278 -2.28)34.2% (2.271 2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.9% (-2.617 -2.62)56.1% (2.612 2.61)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (-0.363 -0.36)11.69% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.22% (-0.78 -0.78)36.77% (0.772 0.77)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (-2.468 -2.47)28.9% (2.46 2.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (-3.169 -3.17)64.77% (3.164 3.16)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 58.06%
    Burton Albion 21.46%
    Draw 20.48%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.211 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.679 0.68)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.728 0.73)
3-1 @ 6.91% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.413 0.41)
3-2 @ 4.29% (-0.272 -0.27)
4-1 @ 3.71% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.181 0.18)
4-2 @ 2.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
5-1 @ 1.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.06 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 9% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 3.38% (0.382 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.248 -0.25)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.48%
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-1 @ 4.19% (0.209 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.307 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 21.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Peterborough 4-3 Notts County
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Reading
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 6-1 Cambridge
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 4-1 Palace U21s
Tuesday, November 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Newport 2-4 Peterborough
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Tamworth (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Charlton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-3 Stockport
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-5 Burton Albion
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Crawley
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in League One


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