SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 54.57%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.86%) and 3-1 (6.62%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Crawley Town |
54.57% ( 0.04) | 20.88% ( -0) | 24.54% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 65.56% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.6% ( -0.01) | 32.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.97% ( -0.02) | 54.02% ( 0.01) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.92% ( 0.01) | 12.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.4% ( 0.02) | 37.6% ( -0.02) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.57% ( -0.04) | 25.43% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.75% ( -0.05) | 60.25% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.53% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.4% 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.72% Total : 54.57% | 1-1 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.07% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.88% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.2% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.54% |
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