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EFL Trophy | Final
Apr 7, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
WW

Peterborough
2 - 1
Wycombe

Burrows (85', 90+1')
Collins (81'), Burrows (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (89')
Forino-Joseph (90+8')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 14.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
66.82% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 18.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 14.35% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.88% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61% (0.015000000000001 0.02)39% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)61.32% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)10.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.16% (0.051000000000002 0.05)34.84% (-0.055 -0.05)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)39.59% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)76.28% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 66.82%
    Wycombe Wanderers 14.35%
    Draw 18.83%
Peterborough UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
2-0 @ 10.59% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.86% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 4.37% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.05% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.95% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 66.82%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.83%
1-2 @ 4.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 14.35%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Peterborough
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-3 Carlisle
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-1 Stevenage
Wednesday, March 13 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Peterborough
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-1 Northampton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Wycombe
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-3 Portsmouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Northampton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 Wigan
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-2 Wycombe
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-4 Barnsley
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One


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