SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Peterborough United |
26.26% ( -0.07) | 22.17% ( 0.03) | 51.56% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.63% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.98% ( -0.19) | 37.01% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.79% ( -0.2) | 59.2% ( 0.2) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( -0.15) | 26.67% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.08% ( -0.2) | 61.92% ( 0.19) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.42% ( -0.06) | 14.58% ( 0.05) |
