Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.03) 
