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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
41.07% ( 0.19) | 25.33% ( 0.13) | 33.6% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.39% ( -0.64) | 47.61% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.19% ( -0.59) | 69.81% ( 0.59) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% ( -0.19) | 23.03% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.15% ( -0.27) | 56.85% ( 0.27) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( -0.5) | 27.14% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( -0.65) | 62.54% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.07% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.6% |
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