SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
42.9% ( -0.51) | 25.76% ( 0.02) | 31.34% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.83% ( 0.12) | 50.16% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% ( 0.11) | 72.13% ( -0.11) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( -0.19) | 23.25% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( -0.29) | 57.17% ( 0.28) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( 0.4) | 29.86% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% ( 0.48) | 65.95% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.89% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.28% Total : 31.34% |
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