SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
43.06% ( 0.06) | 26.01% ( -0.02) | 30.93% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% ( 0.07) | 51.35% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% ( 0.06) | 73.17% ( -0.06) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( 0.06) | 23.69% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.19% ( 0.09) | 57.81% ( -0.09) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.26% ( 0.01) | 30.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33% ( 0.01) | 67% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.05% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 30.93% |
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