SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
43.28% ( 1.76) | 27.07% ( -0.29) | 29.65% ( -1.47) |
| Both teams to score 49.02% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44% ( 0.56) | 56% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.91% ( 0.46) | 77.09% ( -0.45) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( 1.18) | 25.65% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.44% ( 1.58) | 60.56% ( -1.58) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.93% ( -0.78) | 34.07% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.24% ( -0.85) | 70.76% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.28% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 29.65% |
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