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LA
Major League Soccer
Nov 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Banc of California Stadium
PU

Los Angeles
3 - 3
Philadelphia

Los Angeles win 3-0 on penalties
Acosta (27'), Murillo (83'), Bale (120+8')
Cifuentes (65'), Ibeagha (87')
Crepeau (116')
FT
(aet)
Gazdag (59'), Elliott (85', 120+4')
Carranza (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Austin
Sunday, October 30 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

We say: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union (LAFC wins on penalties)

These are two elite-level teams who excel in similar categories. Both are capable of scoring in bunches, while the Union have a slight edge defensively, but LA have a solid defensive midfield setup. While this will be the first MLS Cup Final for either side, LA have veterans who have played on the most prominent football stages, and the experience of Bale and Chiellini, among others, could be that little extra needed to give the Black and Gold a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.08%).

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
55.88% (-1.982 -1.98) 23.06% (0.667 0.67) 21.06% (1.316 1.32)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.35% (-1.138 -1.14)46.64% (1.138 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (-1.076 -1.08)68.91% (1.075 1.08)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-1.071 -1.07)16.52% (1.071 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.74% (-1.966 -1.97)46.26% (1.966 1.97)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (0.694 0.69)36.35% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (0.694 0.69)73.14% (-0.694 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 55.88%
    Philadelphia Union 21.06%
    Draw 23.06%
Los Angeles FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.84% (-0.371 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-0 @ 2.63% (-0.271 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 55.88%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6% (0.283 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.394 0.39)
1-2 @ 5.54% (0.267 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 21.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Austin
Sunday, October 30 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 LA Galaxy
Friday, October 21 at 3am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Nashville
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 2 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Houston
Monday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Los Angeles
Wednesday, September 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-1 NY City
Monday, October 31 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Cincinnati
Friday, October 21 at 1am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 4-0 Philadelphia
Saturday, October 1 at 10.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-0 Philadelphia
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 5-1 Orlando City
Sunday, September 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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