SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 72.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 11.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Austin FC |
72.34% ( -0.16) | 16.5% ( 0.08) | 11.16% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.02% ( -0.12) | 35.98% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.93% ( -0.13) | 58.07% ( 0.13) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.32% ( -0.06) | 8.68% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.1% ( -0.16) | 29.9% ( 0.16) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.43% ( 0.07) | 42.57% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.08% ( 0.06) | 78.92% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 72.33% | 1-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.5% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.28% Total : 11.16% |
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