Philadelphia Union are near impenetrable on home turf and we expect Curtin's side to turn-up at Subaru Park once again. Orlando City are currently struggling to find their footing so we fancy a slender victory for the home side in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 72.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 10.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Orlando City
72.61%	16.95%	10.43%

Both teams to score 47.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.63%

40.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.26%

62.74%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.27%

9.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.6%

32.39%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.15%

46.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.63%

82.36%

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 72.6%

Orlando City 10.43%

Draw 16.95%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Orlando City
2-0 @ 12.37% 1-0 @ 10.61% 3-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-1 @ 7.29% 4-0 @ 5.6% 4-1 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 2.61% 5-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.61% 6-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.53% Total : 72.6%	1-1 @ 8.05% 0-0 @ 4.56% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.78% Total : 16.95%	0-1 @ 3.46% 1-2 @ 3.05% 0-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.62% Total : 10.43%