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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Piast Gliwice win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Piast Gliwice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Piast Gliwice | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
58.6% ( 0.35) | 23.07% ( -0.13) | 18.33% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 48.71% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.69% ( 0.18) | 50.31% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.74% ( 0.16) | 72.25% ( -0.17) |
| Piast Gliwice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.13% ( 0.19) | 16.87% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.11% ( 0.34) | 46.89% ( -0.34) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.59% ( -0.16) | 41.4% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.08% ( -0.14) | 77.91% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Piast Gliwice | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.87% Total : 58.59% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.07% | 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 18.33% |
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