SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a KS Cracovia win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | KS Cracovia |
59.33% ( -0.38) | 23.01% ( 0.33) | 17.67% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.71% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.99% ( -1.27) | 51.01% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% ( -1.13) | 72.87% ( 1.13) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.14% ( -0.58) | 16.86% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.12% ( -1.04) | 46.88% ( 1.04) |
| KS Cracovia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.39% ( -0.7) | 42.61% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.04% ( -0.61) | 78.96% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | KS Cracovia |
| 1-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.82% Total : 59.31% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.77% Total : 17.67% |
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