Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.

Result
Pisa	Draw	Palermo
43.61% ( -0)	26.02% ( 0)	30.38% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.57% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.41% (

51.59% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.62% (

73.38% (

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.47% (

23.53% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.43% (

57.57%

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.75% (

31.25% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.4% (

67.6% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Pisa 43.6%

Palermo 30.38%

Draw 26.01%

Pisa	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.6%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.55% 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.38%