Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Pisa
38.25% ( 0.11)	27.2% ( 0.01)	34.55% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 50.14% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.72% (

-0.04)

55.28% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.5% (

-0.03)

76.5% (

0.03)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95% (

0.04)

28.05% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29% (

0.06)

63.71% (

-0.06)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.7% (

-0.09)

30.3% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.52% (

-0.11)

66.48% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Palermo 38.24%

Pisa 34.54%

Draw 27.2%

Palermo	Draw	Pisa
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.24%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.2%	0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.54%