SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
40.06% ( -1.13) | 24.18% ( 0.14) | 35.75% ( 0.98) |
| Both teams to score 60.62% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.1% ( -0.51) | 41.89% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.7% ( -0.52) | 64.3% ( 0.51) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( -0.74) | 21.04% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.15% ( -1.17) | 53.84% ( 1.17) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( 0.3) | 23.22% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.88% ( 0.44) | 57.12% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.74% Total : 40.06% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.23% Total : 35.75% |
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