Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
40.06% (![]() | 24.18% (![]() | 35.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.1% (![]() | 41.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.7% (![]() | 64.3% (![]() |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.95% (![]() | 21.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.15% (![]() | 53.84% (![]() |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.78% (![]() | 23.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.88% (![]() | 57.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
2-1 @ 8.67% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.61% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 40.06% | 1-1 @ 11.11% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.33% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.12% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.23% Total : 35.75% |
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