Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
37.73% ( 0.6) | 24.04% ( -0.3) | 38.23% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 61.34% ( 1.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.97% ( 1.48) | 41.03% ( -1.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.57% ( 1.49) | 63.42% ( -1.5) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.2% ( 0.97) | 21.8% ( -0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.99% ( 1.46) | 55.01% ( -1.46) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.44% ( 0.5) | 21.55% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.37% ( 0.76) | 54.63% ( -0.77) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.73% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.23% |
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