Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
65.02% ( -0.02) | 20.24% ( -0.02) | 14.73% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.97% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.34% ( 0.16) | 44.66% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.98% ( 0.15) | 67.02% ( -0.15) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.05% ( 0.04) | 12.95% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.58% ( 0.09) | 39.42% ( -0.09) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.4% ( 0.15) | 42.6% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.05% ( 0.13) | 78.95% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
2-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 65.01% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.73% |
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