SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
39.02% ( -0.74) | 24.83% ( 0.24) | 36.15% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 58.31% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.08% ( -1.08) | 44.92% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.73% ( -1.05) | 67.27% ( 1.05) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( -0.85) | 22.88% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.38% ( -1.27) | 56.62% ( 1.27) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( -0.22) | 24.39% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.2% ( -0.32) | 58.8% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.94% Total : 36.15% |
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