While their head-to-head record does not make for strong reading, Port Vale are within touching distance of Charlton and will have the chance to jump ahead of them in the table. It is unlikely to happen this weekend, with the kamikaze Charlton best placed to take the win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Charlton Athletic
43.98% ( -0.03)	26.25%	29.77% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.52% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.2% (

0.01)

52.8% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.58% (

0.01)

74.42% (

-0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12% (

-0.01)

23.88% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.93% (

-0.01)

58.07% (

0.01)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68% (

0.02)

32.31% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.18% (

0.03)

68.82% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 43.98%

Charlton Athletic 29.77%

Draw 26.25%

Port Vale	Draw	Charlton Athletic
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.98%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.77%