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League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
OU

Port Vale
0 - 2
Oxford Utd


Lowe (20'), Clark (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brown (16'), Murphy (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 5-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Oxford United

Although Oxford may be favourites due to their current league position, they have struggled to enjoy success in their recent away matches, and with that in mind, we think that the U's will be held to a point in Saturday's clash at Vale Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawOxford United
42.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.32% (0.00099999999999767 0) 32.21%
Both teams to score 55.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.94% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.12% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)56.06% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)28.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.88%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 42.48%
    Oxford United 32.21%
    Draw 25.31%
Port ValeDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.48%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Port Vale
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 5-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-2 Northampton
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One


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