Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.11) 
