Port Vale
1 - 2
Sunderland

Proctor (67')
Worrall (49'), Walker (59'), Amoo (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hawkes (40'), O'Brien (50' pen.)
Diamond (21'), Taylor (55'), Doyle (86'), Younger (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Port Vale and Sunderland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 66.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.31%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-0 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Sunderland
13.34%	20.09%	66.58%

Both teams to score 46.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.06%

46.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.81%

69.2%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.93%

46.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.22%

81.78%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.81%

13.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.08%

39.93%

Score Analysis

Port Vale 13.34%

Sunderland 66.57%

Draw 20.09%

Port Vale	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 4.71% 2-1 @ 3.7% 2-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 0.97% 3-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.18% Total : 13.34%	1-1 @ 9.54% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.72% Total : 20.09%	0-2 @ 12.46% 0-1 @ 12.31% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-3 @ 8.42% 1-3 @ 6.52% 0-4 @ 4.26% 1-4 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-5 @ 1.73% 1-5 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.76% Total : 66.57%