SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Loughgall |
42.1% ( 0.01) | 23.54% ( 0.02) | 34.36% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.72% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.96% ( -0.08) | 39.04% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.64% ( -0.09) | 61.36% ( 0.09) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.08% ( -0.03) | 18.92% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.58% ( -0.05) | 50.41% ( 0.05) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( -0.05) | 22.65% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.72% ( -0.08) | 56.28% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Loughgall |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.45% Total : 42.1% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 34.36% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
