Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
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