Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Portadown win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carrick Rangers | Draw | Portadown |
40.94% ( -0.29) | 25.11% ( -0.11) | 33.96% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 56.93% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.46% ( 0.57) | 46.54% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.19% ( 0.53) | 68.81% ( -0.53) |
Carrick Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.37% ( 0.11) | 22.63% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.74% ( 0.16) | 56.26% ( -0.16) |
Portadown Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.59% ( 0.52) | 26.41% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.42% ( 0.68) | 61.58% ( -0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Carrick Rangers | Draw | Portadown |
1-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.94% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.96% |
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