Although Charlton have won the last three head-to-head meetings, Portsmouth have won their previous six competitive home matches, and we think that they will draw upon their fine home form to claim all three points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
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