Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.03) 
