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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
BA

Port Vale
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Garrity (40'), Arblaster (86')
Clark (64'), Ripley (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lubala (11'), Seddon (51'), Baah (61')
Hughes (17'), Helm (75'), Powell (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-0 Burton Albion

With Port Vale proving to be an irresistible force in the early stages of the season, we think that they will continue their fine run of form by collecting all three points against a struggling Burton side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
49.6% (5.002 5) 25.51% (-0.858 -0.86) 24.88% (-4.145 -4.15)
Both teams to score 50.18% (-0.58600000000001 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (0.767 0.77)52.82% (-0.767 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (0.652 0.65)74.44% (-0.652 -0.65)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69% (2.606 2.61)21.31% (-2.606 -2.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (3.874 3.87)54.26% (-3.873 -3.87)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (-2.954 -2.95)36.22% (2.955 2.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (-3.125 -3.13)73.01% (3.126 3.13)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 49.6%
    Burton Albion 24.89%
    Draw 25.5%
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.55 0.55)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.406 0.41)
2-0 @ 9.23% (1.083 1.08)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.554 0.55)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.871 0.87)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.338 0.34)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.448 0.45)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 49.6%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.918 -0.92)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.741 -0.74)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.839 -0.84)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.446 -0.45)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.421 -0.42)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 24.89%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Crewe
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Crewe (2-0 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-3 Port Vale
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Exeter
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-3 Derby
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One


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