Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
