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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
53.54% ( 0.17) | 22.36% ( -0.1) | 24.1% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.59% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60% ( 0.37) | 40% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.64% ( 0.38) | 62.36% ( -0.38) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.03% ( 0.19) | 14.98% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.59% ( 0.35) | 43.41% ( -0.35) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( 0.14) | 29.92% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.98% ( 0.17) | 66.03% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 24.1% |
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