Portugal are unbeaten in their seven previous games with Croatia, and we are expecting that run to be extended this weekend. Three of Portugal's last four wins over Croatia have been by the odd goal, and we are predicting a narrow success for Martinez's team in this glamour international friendly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 64.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Croatia win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Portugal	Draw	Croatia
64.61% ( 0.12)	19.22% ( 0.23)	16.16% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 57.08% (

-1.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.98% (

-1.86)

37.02% (

1.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.79% (

-2.04)

59.21% (

2.03)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.19% (

-0.51)

10.8% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.15% (

-1.13)

34.85% (

1.12)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64% (

-1.58)

36% (

1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.22% (

-1.65)

72.78% (

1.64)

Score Analysis

Portugal 64.61%

Croatia 16.16%

Draw 19.22%

Portugal	Draw	Croatia
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.47) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.59) 3-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.71% Total : 64.61%	1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.22%	1-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.39% Total : 16.16%