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European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
CR

Portugal
2 - 1
Czech Republic

Hranac (69' og.), Conceicao (90+2')
Leao (39'), Conceicao (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Provod (62')
Schick (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal 3-0 Rep. Ireland
Tuesday, June 11 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Czech Republic 2-1 N. Macedonia
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portugal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portugal.

Result
PortugalDrawCzech Republic
46.31% (-3.488 -3.49) 24.75% (1.451 1.45) 28.93% (2.036 2.04)
Both teams to score 55.84% (-3.356 -3.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05% (-5.136 -5.14)46.95% (5.135 5.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (-4.983 -4.98)69.2% (4.981 4.98)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (-3.398 -3.4)20.34% (3.398 3.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27% (-5.714 -5.71)52.73% (5.713 5.71)
Czech Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09% (-1.173 -1.17)29.9% (1.172 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-1.439 -1.44)66% (1.439 1.44)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 46.31%
    Czech Republic 28.93%
    Draw 24.75%
PortugalDrawCzech Republic
1-0 @ 9.69% (1.045 1.05)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-0 @ 7.71% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.719 -0.72)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.445 -0.45)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.547 -0.55)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.545 -0.55)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.385 -0.39)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.379 -0.38)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 46.31%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.92 0.92)
0-0 @ 6.08% (1.215 1.22)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.346 -0.35)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.267 -0.27)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.34% (1.272 1.27)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.337 0.34)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.646 0.65)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 28.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portugal 3-0 Rep. Ireland
Tuesday, June 11 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 1-2 Croatia
Saturday, June 8 at 5.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 4-2 Finland
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Slovenia 2-0 Portugal
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 5-2 Sweden
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 2-0 Iceland
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Czech Republic 2-1 N. Macedonia
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Czech Republic 7-1 Malta
Friday, June 7 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Czech Republic 2-1 Armenia
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 1-2 Czech Republic
Friday, March 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Czech Republic 3-0 Moldova
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Poland 1-1 Czech Republic
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying


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