Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for France had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%).
