Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 73.81%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
Result | ||
Portugal | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
73.81% (![]() | 15.44% (![]() | 10.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.22% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.19% (![]() | 31.81% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.66% (![]() | 53.34% (![]() |
Portugal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.64% (![]() | 7.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.42% (![]() | 26.58% (![]() |
Republic of Ireland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.61% (![]() | 40.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.99% (![]() | 77.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Portugal | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
2-0 @ 10.11% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.76% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 3.65% Total : 73.8% | 1-1 @ 7.04% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.44% | 1-2 @ 3.19% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 1.42% Total : 10.75% |
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