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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Leeds United |
27.2% ( -0.53) | 24.78% ( -0.07) | 48.02% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( -0.03) | 48.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( -0.03) | 70.32% ( 0.02) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( -0.41) | 31.82% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.74% ( -0.48) | 68.26% ( 0.48) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( 0.24) | 20.1% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.65% ( 0.39) | 52.35% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.2% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 48.02% |
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