SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Leicester City |
29.22% ( -2.88) | 23.67% ( 0.75) | 47.1% ( 2.12) |
| Both teams to score 59.73% ( -4.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.08% ( -5.13) | 41.91% ( 5.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.68% ( -5.36) | 64.32% ( 5.36) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% ( -4.31) | 27.15% ( 4.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.45% ( -5.98) | 62.54% ( 5.97) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.99% ( -1.18) | 18.01% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.11% ( -2.05) | 48.88% ( 2.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.35) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.7)2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.58)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.62)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.35)Other @ 3% Total : 29.22% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.81) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.55)0-0 @ 4.89% ( 1.04)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.43)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 1.53)0-2 @ 7.18% ( 1.08)1-3 @ 5.35% 0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.48)2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.46)1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.27)Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.1% |
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