SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Preston North End |
44.21% ( 0.18) | 26.52% ( 0.05) | 29.27% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.95% ( -0.31) | 54.05% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.52% ( -0.26) | 75.48% ( 0.26) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0.05) | 24.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.31% ( -0.07) | 58.69% ( 0.07) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.67% ( -0.34) | 33.33% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.05% ( -0.38) | 69.95% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 44.2% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.44% Total : 29.27% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
