SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
52.3% ( -0.85) | 21.67% ( 0.26) | 26.03% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 64.27% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.23% ( -0.72) | 34.77% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.27% ( -0.81) | 56.74% ( 0.81) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.45% ( -0.51) | 13.55% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.36% ( -1.02) | 40.64% ( 1.02) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( 0.03) | 25.65% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.45% ( 0.04) | 60.56% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.02% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 26.03% |
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