SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
66.63% ( -0.11) | 18.32% ( -0) | 15.05% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.69% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.04% ( 0.25) | 34.96% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.05% ( 0.28) | 56.95% ( -0.28) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.27% ( 0.04) | 9.73% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.6% ( 0.1) | 32.4% ( -0.1) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% ( 0.31) | 36.09% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.13% ( 0.31) | 72.87% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.37% Total : 66.63% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.32% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 15.05% |
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