SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 62.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
62.45% ( 0.55) | 19.52% ( -0.13) | 18.03% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 60.18% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.11% ( -0.11) | 34.89% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.13% ( -0.12) | 56.87% ( 0.12) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.26% ( 0.11) | 10.74% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.3% ( 0.24) | 34.7% ( -0.24) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.42% ( -0.5) | 32.58% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.88% ( -0.57) | 69.12% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.98% Total : 62.45% | 1-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.52% | 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.12% Total : 18.03% |
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