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KNVB Beker | Second Round
Jan 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
FT

PSV
3 - 1
FC Twente

Vertessen (19'), de Jong (55'), Bakayoko (61')
Teze (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ugalde (68')
Propper (58'), Rots (81')
Coverage of the KNVB Beker Second Round clash between PSV Eindhoven and FC Twente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 AZ
Saturday, January 13 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawFC Twente
43.71% (-1.484 -1.48) 22.63% (0.6 0.6) 33.66% (0.882 0.88)
Both teams to score 65.91% (-1.963 -1.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.23% (-2.7 -2.7)34.77% (2.699 2.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.27% (-3.088 -3.09)56.73% (3.086 3.09)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (-1.608 -1.61)16.53% (1.607 1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.71% (-2.974 -2.97)46.28% (2.973 2.97)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (-0.816 -0.82)21.03% (0.813 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.17% (-1.287 -1.29)53.82% (1.285 1.29)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 43.71%
    FC Twente 33.66%
    Draw 22.63%
PSV EindhovenDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.26% (0.519 0.52)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-2 @ 4.11% (-0.316 -0.32)
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.261 -0.26)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.256 -0.26)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 43.71%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.581 0.58)
2-2 @ 6.85% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.48% (0.459 0.46)
3-3 @ 2.14% (-0.222 -0.22)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.273 0.27)
0-1 @ 5.42% (0.597 0.6)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.37 0.37)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.142 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 33.66%

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Form Guide
Last Game: PSV 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 1-1 Hamburger SV
Sunday, January 7 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: PSV 1-1 Heracles
Sunday, January 7 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AZ 0-4 PSV
Sunday, December 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 1-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Heerenveen
Thursday, December 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 AZ
Saturday, January 13 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 2-2 FC Twente
Sunday, December 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 4-2 Excelsior
Friday, December 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-3 FC Twente
Sunday, December 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 0-3 PSV
Saturday, November 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, November 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie


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