SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord |
44.37% ( -0.33) | 23.25% ( 0.09) | 32.38% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 63.06% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.71% ( -0.33) | 38.29% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.42% ( -0.35) | 60.57% ( 0.35) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( -0.26) | 17.67% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.7% ( -0.45) | 48.3% ( 0.45) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( -0.02) | 23.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.61% ( -0.03) | 57.39% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.93% Total : 44.37% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.38% |
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