SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
45.61% ( 0.83) | 22.74% ( 0.18) | 31.65% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.62% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.89% ( -1.35) | 36.11% ( 1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.78% ( -1.49) | 58.22% ( 1.5) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.66% ( -0.21) | 16.33% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.07% ( -0.39) | 45.93% ( 0.4) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( -1.2) | 22.77% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.54% ( -1.82) | 56.46% ( 1.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.06)4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.68% Total : 45.61% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.65% |
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