SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
33.49% ( -0.42) | 23.83% ( 0.01) | 42.67% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 61.34% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.26% ( -0.18) | 40.73% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.88% ( -0.18) | 63.12% ( 0.18) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( -0.32) | 23.92% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.85% ( -0.46) | 58.14% ( 0.46) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.63% ( 0.11) | 19.37% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.83% ( 0.17) | 51.16% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.49% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.25% Total : 42.67% |
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